Another Watch May be Necessary

THREAT OF SEVERE HAIL AND ISOLD TORNADOES CONTINUES ACROSS PORTIONS
OF MS/AL. A WW MAY BE NEEDED WEST OF THE CURRENT WATCH AS CONVECTION
GRADUALLY DEVELOPS UPSTREAM.
   
AS OF 23Z…A BAROCLINIC ZONE EXISTS FROM SERN AL NEAR DOTHAN WNWWD
INTO MERIDIAN MS…THEN THROUGH GREENWOOD MS. AN INCREASE IN
CONVECTION IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS STRONGER
FORCING…NOTED ON WV [...]

Dangerous Flooding Ongoing…

We are getting numerous reports of serious flooding situations in the area, mostly centered in Talladega and Shelby Co’s. Roads are reported to be impassable in Talladega itself, water is covering several roadways in northern Shelby Co between Pelham and Chelsea. A water rescue, at last report, was underway in Helena with a [...]

Tornado Watch Issued, As Expected, For West and Central AL.

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 21
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
105 PM CST WED MAR 10 2010
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
[...]

Tornado Watch Likely for West Alabama Shortly…

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0166
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1221 PM CST WED MAR 10 2010
AREAS AFFECTED…CNTRL/SRN MS…W-CNTRL/SRN AL
CONCERNING…SEVERE POTENTIAL…TORNADO WATCH LIKELY
VALID 101821Z – 101945Z
THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE THIS
[...]

Wednesday Severe Threat

Severe weather threat still looks marginal Wednesday.  But, we will have to watch the system very closely for any surprises.  That was a marginal setup that created the EF2 tornado in Western Oklahoma Monday.  I think this map showcases the best overlap of instability and shear.  Keep in mind – this is a developing forecast [...]

Active Period of Weather – Marginal Severe Threat

Spring is almost here and this also brings the chance of thunderstorms.  While it appears the best chance of stronger storms will remain to our west Wednesday afternoon/evening, this system does warrant watching.  It appears at least marginal instability will likely return to the area tomorrow.  Dewpoints will reach the mid to upper 50s.  I [...]

Rain On The Way…

After an absolutely stellar day today weatherwise we are going to see things change a bit over the next 24 hrs. Cloud cover has already begun to stream back into the southern half of the state this evening, and we expect to see more clouds overspreading the entire state overnight. This is ahead [...]

High-Pressure Likely to Slow Approaching Storm

We often talk about the flow of moist air that comes into Alabama on southerly winds and enhances our chances for rain, but sometimes the humid air originates elsewhere.  That’s the case right now, as the southern stream upper-level jet sweeps Pacific moisture across our area in the form of high clouds.  No rain fell [...]

Great Weather This Weekend, Rain Returns For The Workweek…

We have been seeing a lot of sun this past week, but with north winds temperatures have struggled to rise very much; that will begin to change today. We started this morning mostly in the upper 20’s, but with almost full sunshine and dry air, temperatures will rise rapidly today reaching near 60s degrees [...]

Interesting Read Regarding El Nino and Tornadoes…

For those interested in the Spring severe weather season, here’s an interesting paper by Storm Prediction Center director Joe Schaefer.  Thanks to fellow Raycom and KAIT chief meteorologist Ryan Vaughan for digging this one up.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/publications/schaefer/el_nino.htm