Model Madness…

Snow or No?  The last couple of runs of our two main American computer models have trended farther south with the area of low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico.  This means two things – colder and drier.  This is a good news/bad news situation for those looking for snow.  The colder air is obviously [...]

Morning Rain…Then Breezy Afternoon

As we head into this afternoon, most of our rainfall in the state will be gone and we might even see some partial clearing.  It will be windy though.  The National Weather Service has issued a Wind Advisory from noon today until midnight tonight.  Wednesday and Thursday should be dry with partly cloudy skies.  Our [...]

Active El Nino Winter Pattern Continues

Yet another storm system will spread another band of clouds across the area tonight.  Light rain is possible late tonight, but rain is much more likely during the day Tuesday as a strong cold front marches eastward across the southern states.  It will turn sharply colder behind the front with lows falling to the 20’s [...]

Winter Far From Over

With last week’s groundhog now in hiding and postponing those plans for an early spring, we have some winter weather to deal with over the coming week or two.
Let’s start with the temperatures.  In brief, the pattern of upper level winds has taken on what’s often called a “blocking” configuration over the high latitudes, which oftern [...]

Suprise Snow

If the snow across North Alabama this morning was a suprise to you it was a suprise to us as well. While we expected a little snow or sleet to fall this morning, 5″ of the stuff was the farthest thing from our minds. This is a great example of how forecasting the [...]

Monday Forecast

It’s not a “Rainy Day On Monday” but it’s a mostly cloudy one.  Some showers made it into the northern tier of counties this morning, but most of us won’t see rainfall until after the midnight hour tonight.  Expect mostly cloudy skies for today.  Tuesday’s rain should be over by about noon followed by decreasing [...]

Late Week Snow Possible…

If you watched my forecast last Friday, I mentioned the possibility of snow or at least a wintry mix late week.  The forecast models were hinting the possibility.  Now, it’s a bit more of a hint.  The GFS is now showing a low forming in the Gulf of Mexico.  These lows give us a classic [...]

A Tricky Late Week Forecast…

Low clouds across the area this morning should begin to burn off by 9am, and we should be under significant sunshine by the noon hour; we are going to need it, because brisk north winds will continue to transport cold air into the state today. Our highs should top out in the mid to [...]

Dry for Just a Short While

The same powerful storm that brought 2-to-3 inches of rain to much of our area on Friday and dumped record snowfall on the mid-Atlantic continued on Saturday to generate windy conditions for us even as it departed off the East Coast.  The steep pressure gradient between that exiting low-pressure area and the incoming high-pressure resulted [...]

Colder Air On The Way…

Our cold, wet winter continues, but thankfully not as cold and wet here today as what they are seeing in the northeast, which is getting dumped on with snow this weekend. That same system is going to bring in cool air across the state today, making it a raw, gray, cold day. Expect [...]