PM Forecast Update

Expect a few scattered clouds late tonight with temperatures falling into the mid 20s.  Rain should stay out of the forecast through Monday.  We can enjoy some slightly warmer temperatures for the upcoming weekend.
The forecast next week is still a bit of a challenge.  Forecast models (Euro and Canadian) still paint a wet picture with the [...]

Cool, Dry, and Quiet

After one more hard freeze tonight, we’ll have some tranquil weather to take us right through the weekend along with a slow moderation in temperatures.
Under clear skies temperatures will drop well down into the 20s tonight, likely even colder than it was Wednesday night in most areas due to lighter winds. The next weather system will bring us [...]

Early Week Storm System

Get ready for another cold night tonight.  We are headed for the 20’s again.  The best news we have involves a pretty decent weekend forecast.  It won’t be nearly as warm as last weekend’s pre-spring treat.  Instead of mid and upper 60’s, we should see highs in the mid and upper 50’s and it appears [...]

AM Update

A Ccccc-cold start to this morning.  Plenty of sunshine today should warm temps into the upper 40s.  Look for warmer temps (highs in the mid 50s) for tomorrow through the weekend and partly cloudy skies.
The forecast becomes a bit more murky going into Monday and Tuesday.  A pesky low in the Gulf of Mexico will [...]

More Long Range Climate for you. I give you the Forecast Arctic Oscillation.

It appears we are due for a weather pattern change in the next couple of weeks and that could be the reason the forecast for early next week is a bit (Cloudy)  in terms of weather forecast model agreement.  The key might be found in what is known as the Arctic Oscillation.  When the phase [...]

NWS Climate Update – Record Cold

FROM NWS BMX
ON THE CLIMATE FRONT…SINCE JANUARY FIRST…BOTH BIRMINGHAM AND MONTGOMERY HAVE EXPERIENCED TOP 10 RECORD COLD TEMPERATURES.  THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE AT BIRMINGHAM HAS BEEN 39.3 DEGREES…THE 8TH COLDEST JANUARY THROUGH FEB 23RD* PERIOD IN HISTORY AND THE SAME TIME PERIOD AT MONTGOMERY RANKS SIXTH…COMING IN A 42.1 DEGREES. BASED ON FORECAST TEMPERATURES FOR THE [...]

Model Comparisons (GFS vs. ECM)

The challenge with next week’s potential snowfall forecast comes with the position of the Gulf low.  The GFS has performed poorly with the last several Winter systems so most meteorologists are not buying its recent trend of keeping the low farther south in the Gulf.  The Canadian GEM and the European ECMWF have performed the [...]

PM Forecast Update

The forecast will continue to be cold and dry over the next few days.  High pressure will be the general rule. Expect morning lows down into the mid 20s Thursday and Friday.  The weekend should be a bit warmer with highs in the mid 50s.
The forecast becomes a bit more murky going into Monday and Tuesday.  [...]

Back to the 20’s Tonight!

It was a rather interesting morning across central and south Alabama.  While most areas saw mostly rainfall, there was a wintry mix at times in parts of central Alabama.  In fact, there were even a few bursts of snow at times across the central counties in places like Autauga, Elmore and Tallapoosa counties.  Temperatures stayed above [...]

06z GFS and Snow

Looks like our big system is ramping back up for snow per the GFS.   Per the 06z run, the best chance of snowfall would be Monday night into Tuesday.  Here’s an image showing the 850 freezing line and 6hr accumulated precip.  Still a ways out – we’ll keep you posted.
James-Paul Dice
Fox 6 Chief Meteorologist
james.dice@wbrc.com