New model runs are hot off the presses…Confidence continues to grow in accumulating snow in Alabama.  The following charts show total precip amounts between now and Friday evening.  For our area, almost all of this would fall as snow.  Here’s the new NAM:

Note the sharp cutoff over central Alabama.  If the NAM is correct, Montgomery could see 2-3″, while Birmingham stays completely dry.  That’s what makes this such a difficult forecast.

Here’s the GFS…it continues to trend slightly northward with its precip shield…

The GFS is aligned better with the European and Canadian, which have been handling this system with much greater consistency.  Therefore, our forecast is weighted in the direction of the GFS/Euro/Canadian camp.  Our map from earlier today still looks like it’s in great shape…The concept is for the southern half of Alabama to see a general 1-2″ snowfall accumulation, with a strip of snow in the 2-4″ range.  The higher end of that range would likely come in west/southwest Alabama…

Time for a quick nap…I will post again bright and early tomorrow morning.

Filed under: Montgomery, Regions, Winter Weather